DOES NATURAL DISASTERS VULNERABILITY INDUCES THE RISK OF RADICAL ATTACK?

Abstract

Natural catastrophes bring a unique set of issues that require prompt attention. Existing humanitarian crises can be made worse by ongoing conflicts, which further undermines efforts to attain peace and stability. The combination of ongoing conflicts and natural disasters can have devastating effects on communities that are already vulnerable. The objective of this study is to investigate the impact that natural disasters have, both in develop countries and in developing countries, on acts of violent extremism. We found a strong positive effect on total deaths and the total occurrence of natural disasters on radical attacks by utilising the Logit and Probit models as well as detailed data on terrorism, natural disasters, and other control variables for 126 countries between the years 1970 and 2016. Our research covered the period from 1970 to 2016. On the other hand, the overall damage caused by natural disasters has been shown to have a negative and significant relationship with radical attack. When considering other variables, the findings are demonstrably significant. In light of the findings indicating a quick change in the frequency of natural disasters may increase the occurrence of radical attacks, greater attention and prevention should be given in order to decrease the risk of attacks.